IVY SEASON PREVIEW: Dartmouth Trendspotting

The numbers: 3-11 overall, 0-1 Ivy, 323rd RPI, 333rd Sagarin, 333rd Pomeroy

The recent results: lost to Quinnipiac 73-51 (12/30), defeated Bucknell 49-43 (1/4), lost to Harvard 76-47 (1/9)
The upcoming schedule: vs. St. Francis (NY) (1/18), vs Harvard (1/23), at Cornell (1/29)

Key Non-Conference Wins: vs. Hartford 68-56 (11/28), vs. Bucknell 49-43 (1/4)

Change At The Top
In a bizarre league year, this story did everything it could to outstrip the rest. Less than 24 hours before Harvard and Dartmouth were slated to kick off Ivy intra-league play, the Big Green’s athletic office released a statement saying that coach Terry Dunn had resigned. From there, the rumors began to swirl with FOXSports.com reporting that a player revolt had led to a signed document being presented to the athletic department which stated that the players would boycott the Harvard game if Dunn was still the coach. Some players and the administration have refuted that report, but have offered only vague explanations for the real reasons behind Dunn’s departure. The athletic department forwarded the argument of “personal reasons,” but the facts of the case – Jarrett Mathis’s abrupt departure from the team as well as the full-scale assistant coaching changes during the last offseason – would seem to indicate that the truth extends deeper than that.

Hitting The Ocean From The Beach
Dartmouth is on pace to be a historically bad offensive team. The Big Green is one of five Division I teams failing to crack 40 percent EFG, and its 62.0 percent shooting from the free-throw line is 326th nationally. There is no element offensive that this team does in even an average manner and its 81.5 offensive rating would leave Dartmouth as the worst league offense in the last seven years, 3.5 points per 100 possessions off the pace of the former worst offense, the Big Green of 2003-04. That team only managed to win two Division I games that season and lost a game to non-Division I Hawaii-Hilo.

The Bright Spots
The defensive performance this year for the Big Green has been decent. Dartmouth has struggled to keep opponents off the offensive boards, ranking among the nation’s worst, but is average or above average in every other category (EFG percent allowed, turnover rate and free throw rate). Sophomores David Rufful and Josh Riddle and senior Robby Pride rank among the nation’s best in steal percentage, while freshman Matt LaBove and junior Clive Weeden are among the top 300 nationally in defensive rebounding percentage. Throw in freshman R.J. Griffin’s 110 offensive rating in somewhat limited action, and there are definitely some interesting pieces to build around in Hanover.

Injury Report
The Big Green went 12 deep against Harvard on Saturday and enter the Ivy slate with no key injuries.

Odds & Ends
– Dartmouth ranks fourth in the nation, getting 63 percent of its scoring on two-point field goals. Opponents, however, rank third in the nation, getting 63 percent of their scoring from two as well.

– The Big Green has defended the perimeter superbly all year, only allowing opponents to shoot 29.5 percent from deep. Just 22.4 percent of opponents’ shots are threes, the fourth-lowest percentage in Division I. But given the opponents’ success of scoring inside, it’s not a surprise why they are willing to abandon the three-point shot almost entirely.

– Dartmouth has recorded two games with offensive ratings over 100 and won both. It is 3-2 when recording offensive ratings of 89 or above and 0-9 when falling below that with just one of those nine games being decided by fewer than double-digits.

Michael James

Michael James wrote 98 posts

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